The world of baseball is abuzz with the rising fastball velocities of our top pitching prospects. It's an exciting time for fans and scouts alike, as we witness a new era of power pitching. The average fastball speed of MLB starters has reached an unprecedented 95 mph, and it's only getting faster!
Let's dive into the data and explore the fascinating trends among the top 100 pitchers of 2026. This year's list features an impressive 37 pitchers, a significant increase from the 29 in 2025. We've compiled the average fastball velocity for each pitcher, including those who are yet to make their professional debut, by drawing data from their college seasons or, in some cases, from prestigious tournaments like the NHSI.
Here's a breakdown of the key observations:
The average fastball velocity has been steadily climbing over the past four seasons, with 2026 seeing a slight dip back to 95.1 mph after reaching 95.5 mph in 2025. This trend suggests that the 95 mph mark is becoming the new baseline for MLB starters.
For the first time in history, five players in the Top 100 averaged at least 97 mph. This is a remarkable achievement and a clear indicator of the increasing velocity across the league.
Nationals' right-hander Jarlin Susana, ranked 68th, continues to be the hardest thrower, averaging an incredible 99.7 mph. Susana has consistently clocked speeds above 99 mph for the past three seasons, solidifying his status as one of the hardest throwers in the game.
This year's list sets a new record with 18 pitchers averaging 95 mph or more. This further emphasizes the shift towards higher velocity standards in modern baseball.
Three of the top five hardest-throwing pitchers on the list, Carlos Lagrange, Bubba Chandler, and Tanner McDougal, have also demonstrated the ability to maintain their velocity over 100 innings pitched in 2025. This endurance is a crucial factor in evaluating their potential as starting pitchers.
And here's where it gets controversial...
While the focus on velocity is undeniable, it's important to consider the balance between power and control. Can these young pitchers harness their raw speed while maintaining pinpoint accuracy? The ability to locate pitches effectively is a critical skill that often separates the elite from the rest. As we celebrate the rising velocities, let's also keep an eye on the development of these pitchers' command and overall pitching repertoire.
What's your take on the velocity revolution in baseball? Do you think it's a positive evolution or a potential concern for the future of the game? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
